Thanksgiving is rapidly approaching but before making it to Turkey Day, we still have one more slate to break down for fantasy football. Let’s get to feasting and see who to roll with on the Parlay4 app.
Derek Carr @ DEN
Justin Herbert vs. KC
Patrick Mahomes @ LAC
Russell Wilson vs. LV
Justin Herbert Over/Under 17.4 Fantasy Pts
When deploying Justin Herbert within any given fantasy week, the good trend fantasy football owners can lovingly lean on is that the Chargers attempt more passes each week than any other club.
In fact, Los Angeles has ranked in the top three in this category for each of Herbert’s three seasons in the league. And this year’s current number — 43.1 throws a game — figures to get even more of a boost based on the oncoming matchup.
One, Herbert and Co. will be facing the Chiefs, who boast the best offense in all of football once again. As a result, the Chargers will have to unload as much firepower as they can in effort of keeping up, something that only strengthens Herbert’s fantasy prospects for Week 11.
Perhaps above all, Herbert is likely getting his two most important weapons back in the receiving corps, Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. Both stud wide-outs have been absent for at least a handful of weeks now and getting them back should provide a boon to what Herbert does here.
LA’s opponent Sunday night can also lend a sign as to what the Oregon product will accomplish this week. In five career meetings against Kansas City, Herbert has notched an excellent 106.3 passer rating, averaging 292.8 yards per game and throwing for 13 touchdown passes compared to just three interceptions.
Lots of offense is to be anticipated from both sides when the Chiefs and Chargers collide once again. Game script and Herbert’s track record versus this division rival adds up to him topping his projection.
Pick: OVER 17.4 Points
Well, as emphasized, the Chiefs-Chargers matchup on Sunday Night Football this week will contain plenty of offense. That points to yet another big outing from Patrick Mahomes, though it makes more sense to tail his counterpart, Herbert, considering his projection is far lower.
There’s no question Mahomes is hot and the best QB in pro football. However, if KC goes up by a lot early — and remember, they’re favored to win by a good amount — that could cause the Chiefs to engineer more running plays throughout the second half, potentially capping Mahomes’ stats.
As for the other two quarterbacks we’re tasked with dissecting, avoiding any offensive players in a Broncos game seems wise. Their matchups are regularly plating fewer points on the scoreboard than any other club, hence why unders in Broncos games are an absurd 8-1 this year. Denver’s excellent defense spells trouble for Derek Carr, and given the disappointing season currently on display from Russell Wilson, this is a bout to easily avoid for fantasy football purposes.